GEOG 438W
Human Dimensions of Global Warming

Global Transportation Emissions

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According to the EPA, 95% of the world's transportation energy comes from fossil fuels.  Ninety five percent!  (That's higher than I expected, how about you?) This is predominantly comprised of gasoline and diesel for on-road use.

As global demand for personal transport goes up (World Economic Forum, 2016), we'll need to think creatively about how to reduce emissions while accommodating an increasingly mobile global population. 

How do we handle twice as many cars worldwide in 2040 while also seeking to aggressively reduce global GHG emissions?

Reducing energy intensity and switching to low/no carbon fuel sources are just a few of the ways we might be able to achieve those goals. Check out some of the proposed solutions outlined in Project Drawdown's Transport Sector Summary.

graph of the global subsectors contributing to transportation emissions 1970-2010 see text alternative below
This graph shows the contributions of various subsectors to the overall global transport emissions sector.
Click here for a text alternative to the figure above

Direct and Indirect Emissions in Global Transport Emissions Sector
Year

Total Direct/Indirect (GTCO2 eq/yr)

Total Direct (GTCO2 eq/yr)

1970 2.9 2.8
1990 4.9 4.7
2010 7.1 7.0
Direct GHG Emissions of Transport Sector Percentages
Year Indirect Road Rail Pipeline HFC & Indirect N20 International aviation Domestic Aviation International and Costal Shipping Domestic Waterborn
1970 2.71% 59.85% 9.78% 2.81% 1.38% 5.55% 5.71% 11.66% 3.26%
1990 2.83% 71.00% 3.34% 3.45% 1.12% 5.39% 5.94% 7.66% 2.09%
2010 2.11% 72.06% 1.60% 2.38% 2.16% 6.52% 4.10% 9.26% 1.91%

Credit: IPCC, AR5 Climate Change 2014: Mitigation of Climate Change (Fair Use)

The two takeaways from this graph are (1) transportation emissions have more than doubled since 1970 and are expected to continue increasing and (2) the vast majority of those emissions come from on-road sources (light duty vehicles and medium-heavy duty vehicles).