To help develop the project, your team will use one of the Diagnostic Techniques found in A Tradecraft Primer: Structured Analytic Techniques for Improving Intelligence Analysis. The number one reason for flawed analysis is the failure to fully consider alternatives. The inability to properly structure problems and frame decisions is often the reason why we fail to fully consider alternatives.
Your team will use one of the following techniques to examine your analytic question:
- Key Assumption Check; list and review the key working assumptions on which fundamental judgments rest.
- Quality of Information Check; evaluates completeness and soundness of available information sources.
Do not examine Indicators or Signposts of Change or Analysis of Competing Hypothesis. We will investigate these techniques later.
Complete the Diagnostic Technique Exercise. Post a summary of how you used one of the techniques and the results to your team's Canvas dropbox.